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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

El Porvenir v Atletico Atlas: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
0–1
FT
El Porvenir 40%Draw 31%Atletico Atlas 29% Expected goals 1.04 – 0.82
71%
Betarazi pick

El Porvenir or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultEl Porvenir to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEl Porvenir or draw ✗71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16

El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Atlas travel to face El Porvenir on Saturday 13 June in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Atletico Atlas are 10th (lower half) with 37. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

El Porvenir, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Canuelas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Atletico Atlas, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fénix, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours El Porvenir, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Atletico Atlas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 1.0 xG, Atletico Atlas 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 40%, draw 31%, Atletico Atlas 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: El Porvenir or draw (71%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was El Porvenir or draw (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 1–0 Atletico Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Porvenir40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw31%fair 3.28 · @2.80
Atletico Atlas29%fair 3.39 · @3.10
1.86Expected goals
1.04El Porvenir xG
0.82Atletico Atlas xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.0 – 0.8 Atletico Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

El PorvenirAtletico Atlas
Attack vs Primera C average+1%-13%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-5%
Our expected goals here1.050.78

Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEl Porvenir to win ✗40%2.502.40
Double chanceEl Porvenir or draw ✗71%1.421.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.57
Draw no betEl Porvenir (draw no bet) ✗58%1.74–
Asian handicapAtletico Atlas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.771.60
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreEl Porvenir to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.16–

Recent results

El Porvenir – last 6

DWWDDD
7 Jun@ Canuelas0–0D
30 Mayvs Deportivo Muñiz2–1W
27 Apr@ Central Ballester2–1W
22 Apr@ Fénix0–0D
13 Apr@ Yupanqui2–2D
29 Marvs Sportivo Barracas2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Atletico Atlas – last 6

DLLLDD
6 Junvs Fénix1–1D
1 Jun@ Sportivo Barracas0–1L
24 Mayvs Lujan2–3L
8 May@ General Lamadrid0–1L
5 Aprvs Deportivo Muñiz1–1D
29 Mar@ Deportivo Español1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Atletico Atlas.

El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lujan321976+2464
2Canuelas3217105+2161
3Deportivo Español3212164+1052
4Leones de Rosario3213127+651
5Central Cordoba3213109+949
6General Lamadrid329149-441
7Sportivo Barracas3211714040
8El Porvenir328168-440
9Central Ballester3210814-538
10Atletico Atlas3291013-537
11Claypole329914-1336
12Yupanqui3281113-335
13Fénix3281014-834
14Deportivo Muñiz3261115-1529

More Primera C predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas?

Our pick is El Porvenir or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas?

On our numbers El Porvenir have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Atletico Atlas 29%.

How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas?

Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–0 Atletico Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas?

El Porvenir vs Atletico Atlas (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.