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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Español v Victoriano Arenas: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
Deportivo Español 38%Draw 37%Victoriano Arenas 26% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.54
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
U1.5

Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Español to win ✓38% · @2.55
Double chanceDeportivo Español or draw ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.71

Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Victoriano Arenas travel to face Deportivo Español on Friday 17 July in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Español are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 32 matches; Victoriano Arenas are 6th (upper half) with 47.

Current form

Deportivo Español, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Canuelas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Victoriano Arenas, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mercedes, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Español, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Victoriano Arenas.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Victoriano Arenas 0–0 Deportivo Español.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Español 0.9 xG, Victoriano Arenas 0.5 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Español 38%, draw 37%, Victoriano Arenas 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Español or draw (74%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Under 1.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Español 0–0 Victoriano Arenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Español38%fair 2.64 · @2.55
Draw37%fair 2.74 · @2.75
Victoriano Arenas26%fair 3.91 · @2.85
1.42Expected goals
0.88Deportivo Español xG
0.54Victoriano Arenas xG
46%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–024%
1–021%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%

From our goals model: Deportivo Español 0.9 – 0.5 Victoriano Arenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Deportivo EspañolVictoriano Arenas
Attack vs Primera C average-13%-22%
Goals conceded vs average-55%-34%
Our expected goals here0.630.29

Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Español to win ✓38%2.642.55
Double chanceDeportivo Español or draw ✓74%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.53
Draw no betDeportivo Español (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapVictoriano Arenas +1 (Asian handicap)80%1.25–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓51%1.962.15 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76%1.321.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreDeportivo Español to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓59%1.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗31%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21%4.71–

Recent results

Deportivo Español – last 6

LDWWWD
11 Julvs Canuelas0–1L
6 Jul@ Deportivo Muñiz1–1D
27 Jun@ Yupanqui2–1W
13 Jun@ Central Cordoba1–0W
6 Junvs Claypole1–0W
30 May@ Central Ballester0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Victoriano Arenas – last 6

DDLDWD
12 Jul@ Mercedes1–1D
5 Julvs Deportivo Paraguayo0–0D
28 Jun@ Puerto Nuevo1–2L
13 Jun@ Leandro N. Alem0–0D
7 Junvs Defensores de Cambaceres1–0W
31 May@ Juventud Unida1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Mar 2026Victoriano Arenas v Deportivo Español0–0
Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas?

On our numbers Deportivo Español have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Victoriano Arenas 26%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Español 0–0 Victoriano Arenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas?

Deportivo Español vs Victoriano Arenas (Primera C) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.