Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estrella Del Sur travel to face Mercedes on Friday 31 July in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Mercedes are 5th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Estrella Del Sur are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mercedes, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Berazategui, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Estrella Del Sur, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Paraguayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Mercedes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mercedes 1.1 xG, Estrella Del Sur 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mercedes 41%, draw 31%, Estrella Del Sur 29%.
Lower-risk option: Mercedes or draw (71%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mercedes or draw (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mercedes 1–0 Estrella Del Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mercedes41%fair 2.46 · @2.33
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.85
Estrella Del Sur29%fair 3.47 · @3.20
1.90Expected goals
1.05Mercedes xG
0.84Estrella Del Sur xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mercedes 1.1 – 0.8 Estrella Del Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mercedes
Estrella Del Sur
Attack vs Primera C average
+1%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-10%
Our expected goals here
0.98
0.80
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our pick is Mercedes or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur?
On our numbers Mercedes have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Estrella Del Sur 29%.
How many goals will there be in Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our predicted score is Mercedes 1–0 Estrella Del Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur?
Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur (Primera C) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central Cordoba3
General Lamadrid1
Deportivo Español0
Leones de Rosario0