Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCanuelas to win ✓48% · @2.15
Double chanceCanuelas or draw ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.88
Yupanqui vs Canuelas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 3 August: Yupanqui v Canuelas in the Primera C. In the table, Yupanqui are 12th, in the drop zone, on 35 points after 32 matches; Canuelas are 2nd (among the top four) with 61. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Yupanqui, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fénix, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Canuelas, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Muñiz, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Canuelas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Yupanqui.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yupanqui 0.8 xG, Canuelas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yupanqui 24%, draw 28%, Canuelas 48%.
Lower-risk option: Canuelas or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Canuelas or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yupanqui 0–1 Canuelas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yupanqui24%fair 4.13 · @3.55
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.88
Canuelas48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
2.13Expected goals
0.79Yupanqui xG
1.34Canuelas xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
0–211%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Yupanqui 0.8 – 1.3 Canuelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Yupanqui
Canuelas
Attack vs Primera C average
+7%
+50%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.79
1.51
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✓
48%
2.09
2.15
Double chance
Canuelas or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Canuelas (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Yupanqui +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Canuelas to score first
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Yupanqui – last 6
DDLWLL
27 Jul
@ Fénix
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Argentino Rosario
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Deportivo Muñiz
0–1
L
6 Jul
@ Sportivo Barracas
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs Deportivo Español
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Lujan
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Canuelas – last 6
LWWDWW
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Muñiz
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Deportivo Español
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Central Cordoba
0–0
D
30 Jun
@ Claypole
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Central Ballester
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yupanqui and Canuelas.
Our pick is Canuelas or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
On our numbers Yupanqui have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Canuelas 48%.
How many goals will there be in Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
Our predicted score is Yupanqui 0–1 Canuelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
Yupanqui vs Canuelas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
