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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Canuelas v Estrella Del Sur: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
1–2
FT
Canuelas 41%Draw 26%Estrella Del Sur 33% Expected goals 1.02 – 0.88
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: Estrella Del Sur to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCanuelas to win ✗41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.56

Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the Primera C brings Canuelas against Estrella Del Sur. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Canuelas are 2nd, among the top four, on 61 points after 32 matches; Estrella Del Sur are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Canuelas, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Atlas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Estrella Del Sur, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over JJ Urquiza, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Estrella Del Sur 0–2 Canuelas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Canuelas 1.0 xG, Estrella Del Sur 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Canuelas 41%, draw 26%, Estrella Del Sur 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Estrella Del Sur to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canuelas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Canuelas41%fair 2.46 · @2.33
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Estrella Del Sur33%fair 3.00 · @3.30
1.90Expected goals
1.02Canuelas xG
0.88Estrella Del Sur xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Canuelas 1.0 – 0.9 Estrella Del Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCanuelas to win ✗41%2.462.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.861.50
Draw no betCanuelas (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapEstrella Del Sur +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70%1.441.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
First team to scoreCanuelas to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.56–

Recent results

Canuelas – last 6

LWLWWD
9 Aug@ Atletico Atlas0–2L
3 Aug@ Yupanqui2–1W
25 Julvs Deportivo Muñiz0–1L
18 Julvs Leandro N. Alem1–0W
11 Jul@ Deportivo Español1–0W
5 Julvs Central Cordoba0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Estrella Del Sur – last 6

WLDWLW
8 Augvs JJ Urquiza1–0W
4 Augvs Lujan0–2L
31 Jul@ Mercedes1–1D
25 Julvs Deportivo Paraguayo1–0W
12 Jul@ Puerto Nuevo0–1L
4 Julvs Leandro N. Alem3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Estrella Del Sur v Canuelas0–2
Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?

On our numbers Canuelas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estrella Del Sur 33%.

How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?

Our predicted score is Canuelas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?

Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.