Value bet: Estrella Del Sur to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCanuelas to win ✗41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Primera C brings Canuelas against Estrella Del Sur. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Canuelas are 2nd, among the top four, on 61 points after 32 matches; Estrella Del Sur are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Canuelas, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Atlas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Estrella Del Sur, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over JJ Urquiza, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Estrella Del Sur 0–2 Canuelas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canuelas 1.0 xG, Estrella Del Sur 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canuelas 41%, draw 26%, Estrella Del Sur 33%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Estrella Del Sur to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canuelas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canuelas41%fair 2.46 · @2.33
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Estrella Del Sur33%fair 3.00 · @3.30
1.90Expected goals
1.02Canuelas xG
0.88Estrella Del Sur xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Canuelas 1.0 – 0.9 Estrella Del Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
On our numbers Canuelas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estrella Del Sur 33%.
How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our predicted score is Canuelas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.