Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultMercedes to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.09
Claypole vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Claypole welcome Mercedes for a Primera C fixture on Tuesday 18 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Claypole are 11th, lower half, on 36 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Claypole, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sportivo Barracas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mercedes, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Argentino Rosario, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mercedes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Claypole.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Claypole 1.0 xG, Mercedes 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Claypole 36%, draw 24%, Mercedes 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Claypole 0–1 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Claypole36%fair 2.78 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.95
Mercedes40%fair 2.51 · @2.62
2.03Expected goals
0.98Claypole xG
1.05Mercedes xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Claypole 1.0 – 1.1 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✗
40%
2.51
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.93
Draw no bet
Mercedes (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Claypole +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Mercedes to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.09
–
Recent results
Claypole – last 6
LLLDDL
10 Aug
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Lujan
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
13 Jul
vs Leones de Rosario
1–1
D
5 Jul
@ Atletico Atlas
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
LDWWDW
8 Aug
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Centro Español
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Claypole and Mercedes.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Claypole vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Claypole have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mercedes 40%.
How many goals will there be in Claypole vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Claypole vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Claypole 0–1 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Claypole vs Mercedes?
Claypole vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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