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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Paraguayo v Sportivo Barracas: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
Deportivo Paraguayo 29%Draw 25%Sportivo Barracas 46% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.20
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Barracas to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.61

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 16 August the Primera C brings Deportivo Paraguayo against Sportivo Barracas. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 32 matches; Sportivo Barracas are 7th (upper half) with 40.

Current form

Deportivo Paraguayo, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sacachispas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Sportivo Barracas, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Claypole, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sportivo Barracas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Paraguayo.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended Sportivo Barracas 0–0 Deportivo Paraguayo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Paraguayo 0.9 xG, Sportivo Barracas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Paraguayo 29%, draw 25%, Sportivo Barracas 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Paraguayo 0–1 Sportivo Barracas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Paraguayo29%fair 3.41 · @3.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.85
Sportivo Barracas46%fair 2.18 · @2.30
2.08Expected goals
0.88Deportivo Paraguayo xG
1.20Sportivo Barracas xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Deportivo Paraguayo 0.9 – 1.2 Sportivo Barracas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Barracas to win ✓46%2.182.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.05 ▲
Draw no betSportivo Barracas (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapDeportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.631.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreSportivo Barracas to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Barracas / FT Sportivo Barracas ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.61–

Recent results

Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6

LDWLLD
10 Aug@ Sacachispas0–2L
4 Augvs Central Ballester0–0D
31 Julvs Argentino Rosario2–1W
25 Jul@ Estrella Del Sur0–1L
11 Julvs Berazategui0–1L
5 Jul@ Victoriano Arenas0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sportivo Barracas – last 6

WLLLWW
10 Augvs Claypole2–0W
17 Jul@ Lugano2–3L
13 Jul@ Fénix1–2L
6 Julvs Yupanqui2–3L
29 Junvs Lujan2–0W
15 Junvs General Lamadrid2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026Sportivo Barracas v Deportivo Paraguayo0–0
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?

On our numbers Deportivo Paraguayo have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Barracas 46%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Paraguayo 0–1 Sportivo Barracas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.