El Porvenir 56%Draw 27%Central Ballester 18%Expected goals 1.36 – 0.62
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: El Porvenir to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEl Porvenir to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEl Porvenir or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29
El Porvenir vs Central Ballester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Primera C brings El Porvenir against Central Ballester. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Central Ballester are 9th (lower half) with 38. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
El Porvenir, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over JJ Urquiza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Central Ballester, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Leandro N. Alem, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Central Ballester, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for El Porvenir.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Central Ballester 1–2 El Porvenir.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 1.4 xG, Central Ballester 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 56%, draw 27%, Central Ballester 18%.
Lower-risk option: El Porvenir or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: El Porvenir to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 1–0 Central Ballester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Porvenir56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.90
Central Ballester18%fair 5.63 · @4.00
1.97Expected goals
1.36El Porvenir xG
0.62Central Ballester xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.4 – 0.6 Central Ballester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Central Ballester?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Central Ballester?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Central Ballester 18%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Central Ballester?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Central Ballester?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–0 Central Ballester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Central Ballester?
El Porvenir vs Central Ballester (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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