El Porvenir 40%Draw 25%Claypole 35%Expected goals 1.01 – 0.91
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Porvenir to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
El Porvenir vs Claypole: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Porvenir welcome Claypole for a Primera C fixture on Saturday 29 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Claypole are 11th (lower half) with 36.
Current form
El Porvenir, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Central Ballester, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Claypole, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fénix, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 1.0 xG, Claypole 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 40%, draw 25%, Claypole 35%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 1–0 Claypole. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Porvenir40%fair 2.48 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Claypole35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
1.92Expected goals
1.01El Porvenir xG
0.91Claypole xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.0 – 0.9 Claypole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Porvenir to win✓
40%
2.48
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.62
Draw no bet
El Porvenir (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Claypole +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
El Porvenir to score first
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.74
–
Recent results
El Porvenir – last 6
DWLDLD
23 Aug
vs Central Ballester
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ JJ Urquiza
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Yupanqui
0–3
L
4 Aug
vs Fénix
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Mercedes
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Lujan
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Claypole – last 6
DWLLLD
24 Aug
vs Fénix
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Mercedes
1–0
W
10 Aug
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Lujan
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Claypole.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Claypole?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Claypole?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Claypole 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Claypole?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Claypole?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–0 Claypole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Claypole?
El Porvenir vs Claypole (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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