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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sacachispas v Estrella Del Sur: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina · Estadio Beto Larrosa

Sacachispas

LLLDW
0–0
FT

Estrella Del Sur

WDDLD
Sacachispas 43%Draw 27%Estrella Del Sur 30% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.84
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Estrella Del Sur to win @ 4.20 – our chance 30% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSacachispas to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30

Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Sacachispas v Estrella Del Sur in the Primera C, played at Estadio Beto Larrosa. In the table, Sacachispas are 2nd, among the top four, on 50 points after 32 matches; Estrella Del Sur are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sacachispas, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Berazategui, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Estrella Del Sur, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Argentino Rosario, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Sacachispas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sacachispas 1.1 xG, Estrella Del Sur 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sacachispas 43%, draw 27%, Estrella Del Sur 30%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Estrella Del Sur to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacachispas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sacachispas43%fair 2.31 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.55
Estrella Del Sur30%fair 3.34 · @4.20
1.92Expected goals
1.09Sacachispas xG
0.84Estrella Del Sur xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sacachispas 1.1 – 0.8 Estrella Del Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacachispas to win ✗43%2.312.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.44
Draw no betSacachispas (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapEstrella Del Sur +1 (Asian handicap) ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.771.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.10
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.071.02
First team to scoreSacachispas to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacachispas / FT Sacachispas ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.30–

Recent results

Sacachispas – last 6

LLLDWL
27 Sep@ Berazategui0–3L
21 Sepvs Victoriano Arenas0–1L
15 Sep@ Claypole0–2L
5 Sep@ Centro Español1–1D
31 Augvs JJ Urquiza2–1W
22 Aug@ Mercedes0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Estrella Del Sur – last 6

WDDLDL
26 Sepvs Argentino Rosario2–1W
20 Sep@ Lugano1–1D
12 Sepvs Yupanqui1–1D
6 Sep@ Berazategui0–2L
30 Augvs Victoriano Arenas1–1D
24 Aug@ Centro Español0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Estrella Del Sur v Sacachispas0–0
Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

League hub
FT Central Cordoba1 Yupanqui0 164%1.60X22%3.25214%5.25 1.6–0.5xG 1Central Cordoba to win 64%@1.60 ✓
FT Lugano2 Argentino Rosario3 165%1.57X21%3.25214%6.00 1.6–0.5xG 1Lugano to win 65%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?

On our numbers Sacachispas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Estrella Del Sur 30%.

How many goals will there be in Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?

Our predicted score is Sacachispas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?

Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Beto Larrosa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.