Atlético Alagoinhas vs Porto BA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Atlético Alagoinhas v Porto BA in the Baiano 1, played at Carneiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Alagoinhas 1.3 xG, Porto BA 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Alagoinhas 36%, draw 25%, Porto BA 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Alagoinhas 1–1 Porto BA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Alagoinhas36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Porto BA38%fair 2.60 · @2.35
2.57Expected goals
1.31Atlético Alagoinhas xG
1.25Porto BA xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Atlético Alagoinhas 1.3 – 1.3 Porto BA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porto BA to win✗
38%
2.60
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Porto BA (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Porto BA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Atlético Alagoinhas to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Alagoinhas / FT Atlético Alagoinhas✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.62
–
Recent results
Atlético Alagoinhas
No recent results on record.
Porto BA
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Alagoinhas and Porto BA.
What is the prediction for Atlético Alagoinhas vs Porto BA?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlético Alagoinhas vs Porto BA?
On our numbers Atlético Alagoinhas have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Porto BA 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Alagoinhas vs Porto BA?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Alagoinhas vs Porto BA?
Our predicted score is Atlético Alagoinhas 1–1 Porto BA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atlético Alagoinhas vs Porto BA?
Atlético Alagoinhas vs Porto BA (Baiano 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Carneiro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Baiano 1 · Brazil · Carneiro
