Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNacional AM to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceNacional AM or draw ✗74% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Nacional AM vs Manaus FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nacional AM welcome Manaus FC for a Amazonense fixture on Friday 20 February (01:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional AM 1.3 xG, Manaus FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional AM 46%, draw 28%, Manaus FC 26%.
Lower-risk option: Nacional AM or draw (74%) at 1.31.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nacional AM or draw (74%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional AM 1–0 Manaus FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional AM46%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.80
Manaus FC26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
2.13Expected goals
1.27Nacional AM xG
0.86Manaus FC xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.3 – 0.9 Manaus FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional AM to win✗
46%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Nacional AM or draw✗
74%
1.36
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Nacional AM (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Manaus FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.46
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Nacional AM to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional AM / FT Nacional AM✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Nacional AM
No recent results on record.
Manaus FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and Manaus FC.
What is the prediction for Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
Our pick is Nacional AM or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
On our numbers Nacional AM have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Manaus FC 26%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
Our predicted score is Nacional AM 1–0 Manaus FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
Nacional AM vs Manaus FC (Amazonense) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amazonense · Brazil
