Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗66% · @1.48
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Saturday 14 February: Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League, played at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 xG, Fagiano Okayama 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66%, draw 22%, Fagiano Okayama 12%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.00
Fagiano Okayama12%fair 8.40 · @7.20
3.12Expected goals
2.23Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.88Fagiano Okayama xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 – 0.9 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
66%
1.51
1.48
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.11
First team to score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
No recent results on record.
Fagiano Okayama
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fagiano Okayama 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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