Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
07:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League, played at Best Denki Stadium. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 xG, Cerezo Osaka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 31%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 43%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Cerezo Osaka to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avispa Fukuoka31%fair 3.23 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
Cerezo Osaka43%fair 2.32 · @2.75
2.49Expected goals
1.06Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.42Cerezo Osaka xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 – 1.4 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✓
43%
2.32
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Cerezo Osaka (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Avispa Fukuoka +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Cerezo Osaka to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✓
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Avispa Fukuoka
No recent results on record.
Cerezo Osaka
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avispa Fukuoka and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerezo Osaka 43%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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