Value bet: Elfsborg to win @ 2.35 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultElfsborg to win52% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.04
Elfsborg vs Linköping: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Elfsborg v Linköping in the Elitettan. In the table, Elfsborg are 1st, leading the league, on 58 points after 25 matches; Linköping are 5th (upper half) with 43. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Elfsborg, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gamla Upsala W, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elfsborg 2.0 xG, Linköping 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elfsborg 52%, draw 20%, Linköping 28%.
Price worth noting: Elfsborg to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elfsborg 2–1 Linköping. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elfsborg52%fair 1.91 · @2.35
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.70
Linköping28%fair 3.62 · @2.40
3.03Expected goals
2.02Elfsborg xG
1.01Linköping xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Elfsborg 2.0 – 1.0 Linköping expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elfsborg to win
52%
1.91
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Elfsborg (draw no bet)
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Elfsborg -0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Elfsborg to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Elfsborg ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elfsborg / FT Elfsborg
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.04
–
Recent results
Elfsborg – last 3
WWW
26 Apr
@ Gamla Upsala W
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Örebro Söder W
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ KIF Örebro
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Linköping – last 2
WL
15 Mar
vs Gefle W
4–0
W
11 Mar
@ Häcken
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elfsborg and Linköping.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Elfsborg vs Linköping?
On our numbers Elfsborg have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Linköping 28%.
How many goals will there be in Elfsborg vs Linköping?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elfsborg vs Linköping?
Our predicted score is Elfsborg 2–1 Linköping, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Elfsborg vs Linköping?
Elfsborg vs Linköping (Elitettan) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
