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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chapelton v Treasure Beach: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Jamaica · Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex
Chapelton 42%Draw 27%Treasure Beach 32% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.17
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2

Value bet: Treasure Beach to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultChapelton to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Chapelton vs Treasure Beach: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chapelton welcome Treasure Beach to Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 15 February (21:30 WAT). In the table, Chapelton are 10th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Treasure Beach are 13th (in the drop zone) with 6.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chapelton 1.3 xG, Treasure Beach 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chapelton 42%, draw 27%, Treasure Beach 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Treasure Beach to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapelton 1–1 Treasure Beach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chapelton42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.95
Treasure Beach32%fair 3.14 · @3.45
2.50Expected goals
1.33Chapelton xG
1.17Treasure Beach xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Chapelton 1.3 – 1.2 Treasure Beach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChapelton to win ✓42%2.402.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Draw no betChapelton (draw no bet) ✓57%1.77–
Asian handicapTreasure Beach +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreChapelton to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chapelton / FT Chapelton ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.79–

Recent results

Chapelton

No recent results on record.

Treasure Beach

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chapelton and Treasure Beach.

Chapelton vs Treasure Beach head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Tivoli Gardens9333+512
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?

On our numbers Chapelton have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Treasure Beach 32%.

How many goals will there be in Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?

Our predicted score is Chapelton 1–1 Treasure Beach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Chapelton vs Treasure Beach?

Chapelton vs Treasure Beach (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.