Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Waterhouse to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaterhouse to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Monday 16 February: Waterhouse v Tivoli Gardens in the Premier League, played at Waterhouse Mini Stadium. In the table, Waterhouse are 2nd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Tivoli Gardens are 7th (upper half) with 12.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterhouse 1.8 xG, Tivoli Gardens 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterhouse 58%, draw 25%, Tivoli Gardens 17%.
Lower-risk option: Waterhouse or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Waterhouse to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waterhouse or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterhouse58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Tivoli Gardens17%fair 5.99 · @3.75
2.50Expected goals
1.75Waterhouse xG
0.75Tivoli Gardens xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Waterhouse 1.8 – 0.8 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waterhouse to win✗
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Waterhouse or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.91
Draw no bet
Waterhouse (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Waterhouse -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Waterhouse to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Waterhouse ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waterhouse / FT Waterhouse✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Waterhouse
No recent results on record.
Tivoli Gardens
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterhouse and Tivoli Gardens.
What is the prediction for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our pick is Waterhouse or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?
On our numbers Waterhouse have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tivoli Gardens 17%.
How many goals will there be in Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our predicted score is Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?
Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Waterhouse Mini Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
