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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hønefoss v Notodden: numbers & prediction

3–1
FT
Hønefoss 57%Draw 19%Notodden 24% Expected goals 2.14 – 1.44
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultHønefoss to win ✓57% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89

Hønefoss vs Notodden: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hønefoss welcome Notodden for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 27 March (18:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hønefoss 2.1 xG, Notodden 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hønefoss 57%, draw 19%, Notodden 24%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hønefoss 2–1 Notodden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hønefoss57%fair 1.76 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.50
Notodden24%fair 4.18 · @4.20
3.58Expected goals
2.14Hønefoss xG
1.44Notodden xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
3–17%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Hønefoss 2.1 – 1.4 Notodden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

HønefossNotodden
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+1%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+4%
Our expected goals here2.081.59

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHønefoss to win ✓57%1.761.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betHønefoss (draw no bet) ✓70%1.42–
Asian handicapNotodden +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreHønefoss to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultHønefoss ahead at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hønefoss / FT Hønefoss ✓34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.89–

Recent results

Hønefoss – last 2

LD
20 Mar@ Stromsgodset1–3L
7 Marvs Skeid2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Notodden

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hønefoss and Notodden.

Hønefoss vs Notodden head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hønefoss vs Notodden?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Hønefoss vs Notodden?

On our numbers Hønefoss have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Notodden 24%.

How many goals will there be in Hønefoss vs Notodden?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hønefoss vs Notodden?

Our predicted score is Hønefoss 2–1 Notodden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Hønefoss vs Notodden?

Hønefoss vs Notodden (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.