Santo André 50%Draw 27%Sertãozinho 23%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.98
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanto André to win ✗50% · @1.91
Double chanceSanto André or draw ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Santo André vs Sertãozinho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 February: Santo André v Sertãozinho in the Paulista A2.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santo André 1.4 xG, Sertãozinho 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santo André 50%, draw 27%, Sertãozinho 23%.
Lower-risk option: Santo André or draw (77%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santo André 1–0 Sertãozinho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santo André50%fair 2.01 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.10
Sertãozinho23%fair 4.27 · @3.90
2.36Expected goals
1.38Santo André xG
0.98Sertãozinho xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Santo André 1.4 – 1.0 Sertãozinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santo André to win✗
50%
2.01
1.91
Double chance
Santo André or draw✗
77%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Santo André (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Sertãozinho +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Santo André to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santo André / FT Santo André✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Santo André – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs São José EC
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ Taubaté
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sertãozinho – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs Juventus
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santo André and Sertãozinho.
What is the prediction for Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
On our numbers Santo André have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sertãozinho 23%.
How many goals will there be in Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
Our predicted score is Santo André 1–0 Sertãozinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
Santo André vs Sertãozinho (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Monte Azul1
Juventus3
Água Santa4
Grêmio Prudente3
Sao Bento1
Linense0