Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultXV de Jau to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceXV de Jau or draw ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
XV de Jau vs Paulista: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paulista travel to face XV de Jau on Sunday 15 February in the Paulista A3 – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give XV de Jau 1.3 xG, Paulista 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – XV de Jau 46%, draw 28%, Paulista 26%.
Lower-risk option: XV de Jau or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was XV de Jau or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: XV de Jau 1–0 Paulista. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
XV de Jau46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.85
Paulista26%fair 3.78 · @3.50
2.25Expected goals
1.31XV de Jau xG
0.93Paulista xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: XV de Jau 1.3 – 0.9 Paulista expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
XV de Jau to win✗
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
XV de Jau or draw✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
XV de Jau (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Paulista +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
XV de Jau to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT XV de Jau / FT XV de Jau✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
XV de Jau
No recent results on record.
Paulista
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between XV de Jau and Paulista.
Our pick is XV de Jau or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win XV de Jau vs Paulista?
On our numbers XV de Jau have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Paulista 26%.
How many goals will there be in XV de Jau vs Paulista?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for XV de Jau vs Paulista?
Our predicted score is XV de Jau 1–0 Paulista, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is XV de Jau vs Paulista?
XV de Jau vs Paulista (Paulista A3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Itapirense1
Bandeirante SP2