Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEC São Bernardo to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceEC São Bernardo or draw ✗80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
EC São Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 February: EC São Bernardo v Uniao Barbarense in the Paulista A3.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give EC São Bernardo 1.4 xG, Uniao Barbarense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – EC São Bernardo 57%, draw 23%, Uniao Barbarense 20%.
Lower-risk option: EC São Bernardo or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was EC São Bernardo to win (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: EC São Bernardo 1–0 Uniao Barbarense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
EC São Bernardo57%fair 1.75 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Uniao Barbarense20%fair 5.07 · @5.00
2.00Expected goals
1.37EC São Bernardo xG
0.63Uniao Barbarense xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: EC São Bernardo 1.4 – 0.6 Uniao Barbarense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EC São Bernardo to win✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Double chance
EC São Bernardo or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
EC São Bernardo (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Uniao Barbarense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
EC São Bernardo to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EC São Bernardo / FT EC São Bernardo✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
EC São Bernardo – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Paulista
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Uniao Barbarense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC São Bernardo and Uniao Barbarense.
What is the prediction for EC São Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense?
Our pick is EC São Bernardo to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win EC São Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense?
On our numbers EC São Bernardo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Uniao Barbarense 20%.
How many goals will there be in EC São Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC São Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense?
Our predicted score is EC São Bernardo 1–0 Uniao Barbarense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is EC São Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense?
EC São Bernardo vs Uniao Barbarense (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Desportivo Brasil0
União São João0
Rio Preto2
Paulista0
USAC0
Bandeirante SP0
Catanduva1
Marília1
Francana0
Rio Branco SP1