Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Itapirense welcome EC São Bernardo for a Paulista A3 fixture on Sunday 8 March (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Itapirense, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Desportivo Brasil, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
EC São Bernardo, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Rio Branco SP, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours EC São Bernardo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Itapirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Itapirense 1.2 xG, EC São Bernardo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Itapirense 32%, draw 26%, EC São Bernardo 42%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Itapirense 1–1 EC São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Itapirense32%fair 3.08 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.08
EC São Bernardo42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
2.62Expected goals
1.24Itapirense xG
1.38EC São Bernardo xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Itapirense 1.2 – 1.4 EC São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EC São Bernardo to win✓
42%
2.39
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
EC São Bernardo (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Itapirense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
EC São Bernardo to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EC São Bernardo / FT EC São Bernardo✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Itapirense – last 5
WDDLL
4 Mar
@ Desportivo Brasil
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs União São João
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Bandeirante SP
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
EC São Bernardo – last 4
WLLW
4 Mar
vs Rio Branco SP
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Rio Claro
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Uniao Barbarense
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Paulista
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Itapirense and EC São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
On our numbers Itapirense have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and EC São Bernardo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Itapirense 1–1 EC São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo (Paulista A3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Rio Claro2
Bandeirante SP3