Portuguesa Santista 58%Draw 23%Rio Preto 19%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.78
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPortuguesa Santista to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chancePortuguesa Santista or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Thursday 12 March: Portuguesa Santista v Rio Preto in the Paulista A3, played at Estadio Ulrico Mursa.
Current form
Portuguesa Santista, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Francana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portuguesa Santista 1.6 xG, Rio Preto 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portuguesa Santista 58%, draw 23%, Rio Preto 19%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portuguesa Santista 2–0 Rio Preto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portuguesa Santista58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Rio Preto19%fair 5.21 · @5.00
2.38Expected goals
1.61Portuguesa Santista xG
0.78Rio Preto xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Portuguesa Santista 1.6 – 0.8 Rio Preto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa Santista to win✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Double chance
Portuguesa Santista or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Portuguesa Santista (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Rio Preto +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Portuguesa Santista to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa Santista / FT Portuguesa Santista✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Portuguesa Santista – last 5
WLWWW
8 Mar
vs Francana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ União São João
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catanduva
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Itapirense
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Rio Preto – last 2
WW
4 Mar
@ Francana
3–1
W
25 Feb
vs Paulista
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portuguesa Santista and Rio Preto.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
On our numbers Portuguesa Santista have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rio Preto 19%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa Santista 2–0 Rio Preto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto (Paulista A3) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ulrico Mursa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil · Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Bandeirante SP2
EC São Bernardo2