Comercial 31%Draw 27%Inter de Bebedouro 42%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.21
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Comercial to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInter de Bebedouro to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Thursday 26 March: Comercial v Inter de Bebedouro in the Paulista A4.
Current form
Comercial, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vocem, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Inter de Bebedouro, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barretos, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Inter de Bebedouro, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Comercial.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comercial 1.1 xG, Inter de Bebedouro 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comercial 31%, draw 27%, Inter de Bebedouro 42%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Comercial to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comercial 1–1 Inter de Bebedouro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comercial31%fair 3.25 · @3.45
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
Inter de Bebedouro42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
2.27Expected goals
1.06Comercial xG
1.21Inter de Bebedouro xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Comercial 1.1 – 1.2 Inter de Bebedouro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter de Bebedouro to win✗
42%
2.36
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
Inter de Bebedouro (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Comercial +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Inter de Bebedouro to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter de Bebedouro / FT Inter de Bebedouro✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Comercial – last 3
WLW
19 Mar
vs Vocem
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ São Caetano
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Colorado Caieiras
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Inter de Bebedouro – last 4
WDWW
19 Mar
@ Barretos
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Penapolense
0–0
D
5 Mar
vs AEA
4–0
W
25 Feb
@ Vocem
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comercial and Inter de Bebedouro.
What is the prediction for Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro?
On our numbers Comercial have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Inter de Bebedouro 42%.
How many goals will there be in Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro?
Our predicted score is Comercial 1–1 Inter de Bebedouro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro?
Comercial vs Inter de Bebedouro (Paulista A4) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
