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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yadanarbon v Ayeyawady United: numbers & prediction

National League · Myanmar
Yadanarbon 62%Draw 20%Ayeyawady United 19% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.94
81%
Betarazi pick

Yadanarbon or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Yadanarbon to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultYadanarbon to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceYadanarbon or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.19

Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Yadanarbon welcome Ayeyawady United for a National League fixture on Thursday 5 March (10:00 WAT). In the table, Yadanarbon are 4th, among the top four, on 10 points after 6 matches; Ayeyawady United are 11th (in the drop zone) with 3.

Current form

Yadanarbon, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hantharwady United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ayeyawady United, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Thitsar Arman, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ayeyawady United, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Yadanarbon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yadanarbon 2.2 xG, Ayeyawady United 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yadanarbon 62%, draw 20%, Ayeyawady United 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Yadanarbon or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • Price worth noting: Yadanarbon to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yadanarbon or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yadanarbon 2–0 Ayeyawady United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yadanarbon62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.55
Ayeyawady United19%fair 5.37 · @3.35
3.11Expected goals
2.17Yadanarbon xG
0.94Ayeyawady United xG
48%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Yadanarbon 2.2 – 0.9 Ayeyawady United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYadanarbon to win ✓62%1.621.85 ▲
Double chanceYadanarbon or draw ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betYadanarbon (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapYadanarbon -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scoreYadanarbon to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultYadanarbon ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yadanarbon / FT Yadanarbon ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%13.19–

Recent results

Yadanarbon – last 3

WLL
24 Feb@ Hantharwady United1–0W
19 Feb@ Dagon1–2L
14 Febvs Shan United0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ayeyawady United – last 3

DWW
26 Feb@ Thitsar Arman0–0D
19 Febvs Rakhine United2–1W
14 Febvs Dagon Port1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Yadanarbon and Ayeyawady United.

Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Yangon Royals6420+614
2Dagon6411+913
3Shan United4310+710
4Yadanarbon6312+510
5Yangon United4301+89
6I.S.P.E5212-17
7Hantharwady United5212-27
8Sagaing United6213-37
9Thitsar Arman6123-15
10GFA6114-34
11Ayeyawady United5104-133
12Myawady5014-121

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?

Our pick is Yadanarbon or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?

On our numbers Yadanarbon have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ayeyawady United 19%.

How many goals will there be in Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?

Our predicted score is Yadanarbon 2–0 Ayeyawady United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?

Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United (National League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.