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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Thitsar Arman v Dagon: numbers & prediction

National League · Myanmar · Yangon United Sports Complex
2–2
FT
Thitsar Arman 26%Draw 22%Dagon 52% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.82
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultDagon to win ✗52% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Thitsar Arman vs Dagon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 9 March the National League brings Thitsar Arman against Dagon at Yangon United Sports Complex. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Thitsar Arman are 9th, lower half, on 5 points after 6 matches; Dagon are 2nd (among the top four) with 13.

Current form

Thitsar Arman, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over I.S.P.E, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Dagon, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sagaing United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thitsar Arman 1.2 xG, Dagon 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Thitsar Arman 26%, draw 22%, Dagon 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thitsar Arman 1–1 Dagon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thitsar Arman26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.70
Dagon52%fair 1.92 · @1.91
3.06Expected goals
1.24Thitsar Arman xG
1.82Dagon xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Thitsar Arman 1.2 – 1.8 Dagon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDagon to win ✗52%1.921.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.86–
Draw no betDagon (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapThitsar Arman +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreDagon to score first57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dagon / FT Dagon ✗31%3.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Thitsar Arman – last 3

WDD
4 Marvs I.S.P.E2–1W
26 Febvs Ayeyawady United0–0D
20 Febvs Dagon Port2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dagon – last 3

LWW
3 Mar@ Sagaing United0–1L
24 Febvs Rakhine United1–0W
19 Febvs Yadanarbon2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Thitsar Arman and Dagon.

Thitsar Arman vs Dagon head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Yangon Royals6420+614
2Dagon6411+913
3Shan United4310+710
4Yadanarbon6312+510
5Yangon United4301+89
6I.S.P.E5212-17
7Hantharwady United5212-27
8Sagaing United6213-37
9Thitsar Arman6123-15
10GFA6114-34
11Ayeyawady United5104-133
12Myawady5014-121

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?

On our numbers Thitsar Arman have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dagon 52%.

How many goals will there be in Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?

Our predicted score is Thitsar Arman 1–1 Dagon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?

Thitsar Arman vs Dagon (National League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Yangon United Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.