MP welcome KäPa to Mikkelin Urheilupuisto for a Ykkösliiga fixture on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, MP are 7th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; KäPa are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25.
Current form
MP, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over JIPPO, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
KäPa, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over PKKU, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours KäPa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for MP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MP 1.4 xG, KäPa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MP 37%, draw 24%, KäPa 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: MP 1–1 KäPa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MP37%fair 2.67 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
KäPa38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
2.71Expected goals
1.42MP xG
1.29KäPa xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: MP 1.4 – 1.3 KäPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KäPa to win✓
38%
2.61
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
KäPa (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
KäPa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
MP to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MP / FT MP✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
MP – last 5
WLLDD
14 Apr
@ JIPPO
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Kooteepee
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ SJK Akatemia
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Kooteepee
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs JäPS
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
KäPa – last 4
WDWD
15 Apr
@ PKKU
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs SJK Akatemia
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Klubi-04
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ SJK Akatemia
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MP and KäPa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win MP vs KäPa?
On our numbers MP have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and KäPa 38%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs KäPa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs KäPa?
Our predicted score is MP 1–1 KäPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is MP vs KäPa?
MP vs KäPa (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
