Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHaka to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceHaka or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Haka vs JäPS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Haka welcome JäPS for a Ykkösliiga fixture on Tuesday 21 April (16:30 WAT). In the table, Haka are 3rd, among the top four, on 47 points after 27 matches; JäPS are 5th (upper half) with 38.
Current form
Haka, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lasten, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
JäPS, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over TuPS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haka 1.6 xG, JäPS 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haka 63%, draw 22%, JäPS 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haka 1–0 JäPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haka63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.95
JäPS14%fair 7.04 · @5.10
2.23Expected goals
1.61Haka xG
0.63JäPS xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Haka 1.6 – 0.6 JäPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haka to win✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Double chance
Haka or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.73
Draw no bet
Haka (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Haka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Haka to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haka / FT Haka✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Haka – last 3
WDW
17 Apr
@ Lasten
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ PK-35
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs EIF
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
JäPS – last 5
WWDWD
14 Apr
@ TuPS
2–0
W
10 Apr
vs Klubi-04
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ JIPPO
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs TPV
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ MP
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haka and JäPS.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Haka vs JäPS?
On our numbers Haka have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and JäPS 14%.
How many goals will there be in Haka vs JäPS?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haka vs JäPS?
Our predicted score is Haka 1–0 JäPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Haka vs JäPS?
Haka vs JäPS (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
