On Thursday 7 May the Ykkösliiga brings PK-35 against MP at Markku.fi Areena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, PK-35 are 2nd, among the top four, on 52 points after 27 matches; MP are 7th (lower half) with 30. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PK-35, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 8–1 win over StaPa De Royale, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
MP, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–3 win over JPS, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PK-35, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for MP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PK-35 1.5 xG, MP 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PK-35 58%, draw 24%, MP 19%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: PK-35 1–0 MP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PK-3558%fair 1.73 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.55
MP19%fair 5.39 · @4.60
2.28Expected goals
1.54PK-35 xG
0.74MP xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: PK-35 1.5 – 0.7 MP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PK-35 to win✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Double chance
PK-35 or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
PK-35 (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
MP +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
PK-35 to score first
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PK-35 / FT PK-35✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
PK-35 – last 6
WLWWWL
27 Apr
@ StaPa De Royale
8–1
W
24 Apr
vs Kooteepee
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ SJK Akatemia
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ HPS II
5–1
W
3 Apr
vs EIF
4–2
W
27 Mar
@ Turku PS
0–1
L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MP – last 6
WWLWLL
28 Apr
@ JPS
5–3
W
24 Apr
@ Klubi-04
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs KäPa
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ JIPPO
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Kooteepee
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ SJK Akatemia
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PK-35 and MP.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win PK-35 vs MP?
On our numbers PK-35 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and MP 19%.
How many goals will there be in PK-35 vs MP?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PK-35 vs MP?
Our predicted score is PK-35 1–0 MP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is PK-35 vs MP?
PK-35 vs MP (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
