17:00 WAT, Friday 29 May: KäPa v JäPS in the Ykkösliiga, played at Markku.fi Areena. In the table, KäPa are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 27 matches; JäPS are 5th (upper half) with 38. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KäPa, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to EIF, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
JäPS, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KuPS, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KäPa 1.4 xG, JäPS 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KäPa 40%, draw 25%, JäPS 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: KäPa 1–1 JäPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KäPa40%fair 2.51 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
JäPS35%fair 2.84 · @2.65
2.57Expected goals
1.37KäPa xG
1.20JäPS xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: KäPa 1.4 – 1.2 JäPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KäPa to win✓
40%
2.51
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Draw no bet
KäPa (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
JäPS +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
KäPa to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KäPa / FT KäPa✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
KäPa – last 6
LDWWWD
23 May
@ EIF
0–1
L
17 May
vs PK-35
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ VJS II
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ MP
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ PKKU
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs SJK Akatemia
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
JäPS – last 6
LLWWLW
26 May
vs KuPS
0–1
L
22 May
vs MP
0–1
L
13 May
@ HIFK Helsinki
3–1
W
28 Apr
@ Töölön Taisto
9–1
W
21 Apr
@ Haka
0–5
L
14 Apr
@ TuPS
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KäPa and JäPS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win KäPa vs JäPS?
On our numbers KäPa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and JäPS 35%.
How many goals will there be in KäPa vs JäPS?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KäPa vs JäPS?
Our predicted score is KäPa 1–1 JäPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is KäPa vs JäPS?
KäPa vs JäPS (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
