On Sunday 5 July the Ykkösliiga brings MP against Haka at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, MP are 7th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Haka are 3rd (among the top four) with 47. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
MP, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to PK-35, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Haka, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kooteepee, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MP 1.1 xG, Haka 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MP 22%, draw 24%, Haka 54%.
Lower-risk option: Haka or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: MP 1–1 Haka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MP22%fair 4.59 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Haka54%fair 1.85 · @1.75
2.77Expected goals
1.06MP xG
1.71Haka xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: MP 1.1 – 1.7 Haka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haka to win✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Double chance
Haka or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Draw no bet
Haka (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
MP +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Haka to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haka / FT Haka✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
MP – last 6
LDLWWL
26 Jun
@ PK-35
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Klubi-04
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ EIF
0–1
L
31 May
vs EIF
1–0
W
22 May
@ JäPS
1–0
W
17 May
vs JIPPO
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Haka – last 6
LWWLWL
27 Jun
vs Kooteepee
0–2
L
15 Jun
@ SJK Akatemia
2–0
W
8 Jun
@ Kooteepee
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs JäPS
1–2
L
29 May
vs JIPPO
2–1
W
26 May
@ VPS
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MP and Haka.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win MP vs Haka?
On our numbers MP have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Haka 54%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs Haka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs Haka?
Our predicted score is MP 1–1 Haka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is MP vs Haka?
MP vs Haka (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
