KäPa travel to face MP on Wednesday 29 July in the Ykkösliiga, with Mikkelin Urheilupuisto the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, MP are 7th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; KäPa are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25.
Current form
MP, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Kooteepee, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
KäPa, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Haka, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended MP 0–1 KäPa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MP 1.6 xG, KäPa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MP 44%, draw 24%, KäPa 32%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: MP 1–1 KäPa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MP44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.55
KäPa32%fair 3.14 · @3.00
2.82Expected goals
1.56MP xG
1.26KäPa xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: MP 1.6 – 1.3 KäPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win MP vs KäPa?
On our numbers MP have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and KäPa 32%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs KäPa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs KäPa?
Our predicted score is MP 1–1 KäPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is MP vs KäPa?
MP vs KäPa (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
