Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: MP to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMP to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceMP or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
MP vs SJK Akatemia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Ykkösliiga brings MP against SJK Akatemia at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, MP are 7th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; SJK Akatemia are 10th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
MP, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Haka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
SJK Akatemia, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to JäPS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours MP, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for SJK Akatemia.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended SJK Akatemia 1–1 MP. The last 2 head-to-heads: MP 0 wins, SJK Akatemia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MP 1.9 xG, SJK Akatemia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MP 62%, draw 22%, SJK Akatemia 16%.
Lower-risk option: MP or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: MP to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was MP or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: MP 1–0 SJK Akatemia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MP62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
SJK Akatemia16%fair 6.42 · @3.60
2.72Expected goals
1.89MP xG
0.82SJK Akatemia xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: MP 1.9 – 0.8 SJK Akatemia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is MP or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win MP vs SJK Akatemia?
On our numbers MP have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SJK Akatemia 16%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs SJK Akatemia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs SJK Akatemia?
Our predicted score is MP 1–0 SJK Akatemia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is MP vs SJK Akatemia?
MP vs SJK Akatemia (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
