Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultHaka to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceHaka or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27
KäPa vs Haka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 25 September: KäPa v Haka in the Ykkösliiga, played at Markku.fi Areena. In the table, KäPa are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 27 matches; Haka are 3rd (among the top four) with 47. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KäPa, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over SJK Akatemia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Haka, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Klubi-04, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Haka, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for KäPa.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Haka 3–1 KäPa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KäPa 0.8 xG, Haka 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KäPa 12%, draw 21%, Haka 66%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Haka to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: KäPa 0–2 Haka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KäPa12%fair 8.15 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.00
Haka66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
2.94Expected goals
0.82KäPa xG
2.12Haka xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: KäPa 0.8 – 2.1 Haka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Haka to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win KäPa vs Haka?
On our numbers KäPa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Haka 66%.
How many goals will there be in KäPa vs Haka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KäPa vs Haka?
Our predicted score is KäPa 0–2 Haka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is KäPa vs Haka?
KäPa vs Haka (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.