Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultKäPa to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
KäPa vs MP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the Ykkösliiga brings KäPa against MP at Markku.fi Areena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, KäPa are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 27 matches; MP are 7th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
KäPa, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Haka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
MP, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kooteepee, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Jul 2026) it ended MP 2–1 KäPa. The last 2 head-to-heads: KäPa 1 win, MP 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KäPa 1.5 xG, MP 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KäPa 47%, draw 21%, MP 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: KäPa 1–1 MP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KäPa47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
MP32%fair 3.12 · @3.00
2.74Expected goals
1.53KäPa xG
1.21MP xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: KäPa 1.5 – 1.2 MP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win KäPa vs MP?
On our numbers KäPa have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MP 32%.
How many goals will there be in KäPa vs MP?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KäPa vs MP?
Our predicted score is KäPa 1–1 MP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is KäPa vs MP?
KäPa vs MP (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
