Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultMP to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
MP vs JäPS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Ykkösliiga brings MP against JäPS at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, MP are 7th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; JäPS are 5th (upper half) with 38.
Current form
MP, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KäPa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
JäPS, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to JIPPO, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended JäPS 1–0 MP. The last 3 head-to-heads: MP 1 win, JäPS 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MP 1.5 xG, JäPS 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MP 54%, draw 20%, JäPS 26%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: MP 1–1 JäPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MP54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.30
JäPS26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.51MP xG
0.93JäPS xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: MP 1.5 – 0.9 JäPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win MP vs JäPS?
On our numbers MP have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and JäPS 26%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs JäPS?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs JäPS?
Our predicted score is MP 1–1 JäPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is MP vs JäPS?
MP vs JäPS (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.