Value bet: Lund to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLund to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Angelholms FF vs Lund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Angelholms FF v Lund in the Ettan Södra. In the table, Angelholms FF are 14th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 30 matches; Lund are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lund, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rosengård, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Angelholms FF 1.3 xG, Lund 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Angelholms FF 31%, draw 24%, Lund 45%.
Price worth noting: Lund to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Angelholms FF 1–2 Lund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Angelholms FF31%fair 3.22 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.35
Lund45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
3.10Expected goals
1.33Angelholms FF xG
1.77Lund xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Angelholms FF 1.3 – 1.8 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lund to win✗
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Lund (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Angelholms FF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Lund to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lund / FT Lund✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Angelholms FF – last 2
LL
3 Apr
vs trelleborgs FF
1–5
L
14 Feb
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lund – last 4
DLLL
4 Apr
@ Rosengård
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Kristianstad
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Ariana
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Rosengård
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Angelholms FF and Lund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Angelholms FF vs Lund?
On our numbers Angelholms FF have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lund 45%.
How many goals will there be in Angelholms FF vs Lund?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angelholms FF vs Lund?
Our predicted score is Angelholms FF 1–2 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Angelholms FF vs Lund?
Angelholms FF vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
