Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Lund to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLund to win40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.65
Trollhättan vs Lund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Trollhättan v Lund in the Ettan Södra, played at Edsborgs IP. In the table, Trollhättan are 10th, lower half, on 38 points after 30 matches; Lund are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Trollhättan, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Skövde AIK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Lund, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hässleholms IF, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trollhättan 1.6 xG, Lund 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trollhättan 37%, draw 23%, Lund 40%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Lund to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trollhättan 1–1 Lund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trollhättan37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Lund40%fair 2.49 · @2.80
3.26Expected goals
1.58Trollhättan xG
1.69Lund xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Trollhättan 1.6 – 1.7 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lund to win
40%
2.49
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.51
1.50
Draw no bet
Lund (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Trollhättan +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.63
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Lund to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lund / FT Lund
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Trollhättan – last 4
DLWL
24 Apr
vs Skövde AIK
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Hässleholms IF
3–4
L
29 Mar
vs FBK Karlstad
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Oddevold
1–7
L
1.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Lund – last 6
WDDLLL
1 May
@ Hässleholms IF
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Angelholms FF
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Rosengård
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Kristianstad
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Ariana
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Rosengård
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trollhättan and Lund.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Trollhättan vs Lund?
On our numbers Trollhättan have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lund 40%.
How many goals will there be in Trollhättan vs Lund?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trollhättan vs Lund?
Our predicted score is Trollhättan 1–1 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Trollhättan vs Lund?
Trollhättan vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edsborgs IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
