AFC Malmo 55%Draw 23%Tvååker 22%Expected goals 1.85 – 1.17
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Malmo to win ✗55% · @1.68
Double chanceAFC Malmo or draw ✗78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
AFC Malmo vs Tvååker: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 18 May the Ettan Södra brings AFC Malmo against Tvååker at Hyllie IP. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, AFC Malmo are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Tvååker are 11th (lower half) with 38.
Current form
Tvååker, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Olympic, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Malmo 1.9 xG, Tvååker 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Malmo 55%, draw 23%, Tvååker 22%.
Lower-risk option: AFC Malmo or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Malmo 1–1 Tvååker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Malmo55%fair 1.81 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.80
Tvååker22%fair 4.64 · @4.20
3.02Expected goals
1.85AFC Malmo xG
1.17Tvååker xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: AFC Malmo 1.9 – 1.2 Tvååker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Malmo to win✗
55%
1.81
1.68
Double chance
AFC Malmo or draw✗
78%
1.27
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.60
Draw no bet
AFC Malmo (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Tvååker +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
AFC Malmo to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
AFC Malmo ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
AFC Malmo – last 2
WW
14 May
@ Trollhättan
2–0
W
8 May
vs Hässleholms IF
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tvååker – last 4
WLDW
14 May
vs Olympic
1–0
W
2 May
vs Laholm
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Skövde AIK
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Laholm
6–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Malmo and Tvååker.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
On our numbers AFC Malmo have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tvååker 22%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
Our predicted score is AFC Malmo 1–1 Tvååker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
AFC Malmo vs Tvååker (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hyllie IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
