Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Skövde AIK to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Malmo to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Ettan Södra brings Skövde AIK against AFC Malmo. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Skövde AIK are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; AFC Malmo are 4th (among the top four) with 47.
Current form
Skövde AIK, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Eskilsminne, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
AFC Malmo, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tvååker, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Skövde AIK 1.5 xG, AFC Malmo 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Skövde AIK 35%, draw 23%, AFC Malmo 42%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Skövde AIK to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skövde AIK 1–1 AFC Malmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Skövde AIK35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
AFC Malmo42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
3.11Expected goals
1.52Skövde AIK xG
1.59AFC Malmo xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Skövde AIK 1.5 – 1.6 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Malmo to win✓
42%
2.36
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
AFC Malmo (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Skövde AIK +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.14
First team to score
AFC Malmo to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Skövde AIK – last 5
DWDDW
17 May
@ Eskilsminne
1–1
D
13 May
@ Utsikten
3–2
W
24 Apr
@ Trollhättan
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Tvååker
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Norrby IF
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
AFC Malmo – last 3
LWW
18 May
vs Tvååker
0–1
L
14 May
@ Trollhättan
2–0
W
8 May
vs Hässleholms IF
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Skövde AIK and AFC Malmo.
What is the prediction for Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Skövde AIK have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Malmo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
Our predicted score is Skövde AIK 1–1 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
