Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultLund to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Lund vs AFC Malmo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 12 June: Lund v AFC Malmo in the Ettan Södra, played at Klostergardens Idrottsplats. In the table, Lund are 2nd, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; AFC Malmo are 4th (among the top four) with 47.
Current form
Lund, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kristianstad, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
AFC Malmo, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eskilsminne, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lund 1.8 xG, AFC Malmo 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lund 44%, draw 23%, AFC Malmo 33%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lund 1–1 AFC Malmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lund44%fair 2.28 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.45
AFC Malmo33%fair 2.99 · @2.55
3.31Expected goals
1.85Lund xG
1.46AFC Malmo xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Lund 1.8 – 1.5 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lund to win✗
44%
2.28
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.60
Draw no bet
Lund (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
AFC Malmo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Lund to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lund / FT Lund✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Lund – last 6
DWWWLW
7 Jun
@ Kristianstad
1–1
D
3 Jun
@ Olympic
3–1
W
22 May
vs Eskilsminne
4–2
W
17 May
vs Utsikten
5–0
W
13 May
@ Laholm
3–4
L
1 May
@ Hässleholms IF
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Malmo – last 6
WWLWLW
7 Jun
vs Eskilsminne
2–1
W
30 May
vs Laholm
4–2
W
26 May
@ Olympic
3–5
L
23 May
@ Skövde AIK
4–0
W
18 May
vs Tvååker
0–1
L
14 May
@ Trollhättan
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lund and AFC Malmo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lund vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Lund have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Malmo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lund vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lund vs AFC Malmo?
Our predicted score is Lund 1–1 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lund vs AFC Malmo?
Lund vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Klostergardens Idrottsplats.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
