AFC Malmo 35%Draw 23%Trelleborg 42%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.79
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultTrelleborg to win ✓42% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.69
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Malmo welcome Trelleborg to Hyllie IP for a Ettan Södra fixture on Saturday 8 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, AFC Malmo are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Trelleborg are 1st (leading the league) with 69. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AFC Malmo, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Angelholms FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Trelleborg, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lund, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Malmo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Trelleborg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Malmo 1.6 xG, Trelleborg 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Malmo 35%, draw 23%, Trelleborg 42%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Malmo 1–1 Trelleborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Malmo35%fair 2.82 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Trelleborg42%fair 2.39 · @2.33
3.42Expected goals
1.63AFC Malmo xG
1.79Trelleborg xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: AFC Malmo 1.6 – 1.8 Trelleborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trelleborg to win✓
42%
2.39
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Trelleborg (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
AFC Malmo +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Trelleborg to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trelleborg / FT Trelleborg✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
AFC Malmo – last 6
DWLWWW
1 Aug
@ Angelholms FF
2–2
D
27 Jun
vs Jonkopings Sodra
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Olympic
1–2
L
12 Jun
@ Lund
4–1
W
7 Jun
vs Eskilsminne
2–1
W
30 May
vs Laholm
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Trelleborg – last 6
DLDWWL
2 Aug
vs Lund
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Al Diriyah
1–4
L
26 Jun
@ Kristianstad
0–0
D
18 Jun
vs Rosengård
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ Hässleholms IF
2–0
W
10 Jun
vs Osters IF
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Malmo and Trelleborg.
What is the prediction for AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
On our numbers AFC Malmo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trelleborg 42%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
Our predicted score is AFC Malmo 1–1 Trelleborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Hyllie IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
