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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lund v Rosengård: numbers & prediction

Ettan Södra · Sweden · Klostergardens Idrottsplats

Lund

DWWLD
2–0
FT
Lund 42%Draw 21%Rosengård 37% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.50
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultLund to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Lund vs Rosengård: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lund welcome Rosengård to Klostergardens Idrottsplats for a Ettan Södra fixture on Friday 11 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Lund are 2nd, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Rosengård are 6th (upper half) with 43.

Current form

Lund, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Utsikten, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Rosengård, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Laholm, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Rosengård, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Lund.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Rosengård 2–2 Lund. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lund 0 wins, Rosengård 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lund 1.6 xG, Rosengård 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lund 42%, draw 21%, Rosengård 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lund 1–1 Rosengård. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lund42%fair 2.39 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
Rosengård37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
3.11Expected goals
1.61Lund xG
1.50Rosengård xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%

From our goals model: Lund 1.6 – 1.5 Rosengård expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLund to win ✓42%2.392.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.50
Draw no betLund (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapRosengård +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.601.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scoreLund to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lund / FT Lund ✓24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Lund – last 6

DWWLDD
5 Sep@ Utsikten1–1D
28 Augvs Olympic7–1W
22 Aug@ AFC Malmo5–2W
14 Augvs Hässleholms IF0–3L
8 Aug@ Skövde AIK1–1D
2 Aug@ Trelleborg2–2D
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rosengård – last 6

WWDDDW
4 Sepvs Laholm4–2W
29 Augvs Trollhättan3–2W
22 Aug@ Jonkopings Sodra0–0D
16 Augvs Utsikten1–1D
8 Aug@ Eskilsminne0–0D
2 Augvs Jonkopings Sodra4–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Rosengård v Lund2–2
28 Feb 2026Lund v Rosengård1–2
Lund vs Rosengård head-to-head page →

Ettan Södra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg302163+3569
2Lund301587+2153
3Hässleholms IF301659+1753
4AFC Malmo301389+1247
5Atvidabergs FF301389+747
6Rosengård3011109+343
7Skövde AIK3010119-741
8Olympic3012414-140
9Jonkopings Sodra3011613+339
10Trollhättan3010812-538
11Tvååker3010812-538
12Kristianstad3010713-437
13Eskilsminne3010614-1236
14Angelholms FF308913-1233
15Laholm309516-832
16Utsikten303720-4416

More Ettan Södra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lund vs Rosengård?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Lund vs Rosengård?

On our numbers Lund have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rosengård 37%.

How many goals will there be in Lund vs Rosengård?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lund vs Rosengård?

Our predicted score is Lund 1–1 Rosengård, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Lund vs Rosengård?

Lund vs Rosengård (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Klostergardens Idrottsplats.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.