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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tvååker v AFC Malmo: numbers & prediction

Ettan Södra · Sweden
0–0
FT
Tvååker 27%Draw 17%AFC Malmo 57% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.93
57%
Betarazi pick

AFC Malmo to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Malmo to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Tvååker vs AFC Malmo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Tvååker v AFC Malmo in the Ettan Södra. In the table, Tvååker are 11th, lower half, on 38 points after 30 matches; AFC Malmo are 4th (among the top four) with 47.

Current form

Tvååker, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jonkopings Sodra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

AFC Malmo, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atvidabergs FF, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tvååker, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for AFC Malmo.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended AFC Malmo 0–1 Tvååker.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tvååker 1.2 xG, AFC Malmo 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tvååker 27%, draw 17%, AFC Malmo 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AFC Malmo to win (57%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tvååker 1–2 AFC Malmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tvååker27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @3.40
AFC Malmo57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
3.15Expected goals
1.22Tvååker xG
1.93AFC Malmo xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Tvååker 1.2 – 1.9 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Malmo to win ✗57%1.761.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.20–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.87–
Draw no betAFC Malmo (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapTvååker +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreAFC Malmo to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultAFC Malmo ahead at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Tvååker – last 6

WDWWLD
6 Sep@ Jonkopings Sodra1–0W
29 Augvs Skövde AIK1–1D
22 Aug@ Olympic4–3W
15 Aug@ Kristianstad2–1W
8 Augvs Atvidabergs FF1–2L
1 Augvs Utsikten2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Malmo – last 6

DDLDLD
5 Sepvs Atvidabergs FF2–2D
30 Aug@ Laholm2–2D
22 Augvs Lund2–5L
15 Aug@ Olympic2–2D
8 Augvs Trelleborg1–2L
1 Aug@ Angelholms FF2–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026AFC Malmo v Tvååker0–1
Tvååker vs AFC Malmo head-to-head page →

Ettan Södra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg302163+3569
2Lund301587+2153
3Hässleholms IF301659+1753
4AFC Malmo301389+1247
5Atvidabergs FF301389+747
6Rosengård3011109+343
7Skövde AIK3010119-741
8Olympic3012414-140
9Jonkopings Sodra3011613+339
10Trollhättan3010812-538
11Tvååker3010812-538
12Kristianstad3010713-437
13Eskilsminne3010614-1236
14Angelholms FF308913-1233
15Laholm309516-832
16Utsikten303720-4416

More Ettan Södra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?

Our pick is AFC Malmo to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?

On our numbers Tvååker have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AFC Malmo 57%.

How many goals will there be in Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?

Our predicted score is Tvååker 1–2 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?

Tvååker vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.