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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Eskilsminne v Tvååker: numbers & prediction

Ettan Södra · Sweden · Harlyckan
4–2
FT
Eskilsminne 39%Draw 21%Tvååker 40% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.52
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2

Value bet: Tvååker to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTvååker to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78

Eskilsminne vs Tvååker: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the Ettan Södra brings Eskilsminne against Tvååker at Harlyckan. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Eskilsminne are 13th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Tvååker are 11th (lower half) with 38. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Eskilsminne, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Laholm, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Tvååker, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AFC Malmo, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tvååker, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Eskilsminne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eskilsminne 1.5 xG, Tvååker 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Eskilsminne 39%, draw 21%, Tvååker 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Tvååker to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eskilsminne 1–1 Tvååker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eskilsminne39%fair 2.59 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Tvååker40%fair 2.50 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.48Eskilsminne xG
1.52Tvååker xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Eskilsminne 1.5 – 1.5 Tvååker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTvååker to win ✗40%2.502.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.55
Draw no betTvååker (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapEskilsminne +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreTvååker to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tvååker / FT Tvååker ✗23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.78–

Recent results

Eskilsminne – last 6

LLLDDW
12 Sep@ Laholm0–1L
5 Sep@ Trollhättan2–4L
29 Augvs Hässleholms IF0–2L
25 Augvs Orgryte IS1–1D
22 Aug@ Utsikten2–2D
16 Aug@ Trelleborg3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tvååker – last 6

DWDWWL
12 Sepvs AFC Malmo0–0D
6 Sep@ Jonkopings Sodra1–0W
29 Augvs Skövde AIK1–1D
22 Aug@ Olympic4–3W
15 Aug@ Kristianstad2–1W
8 Augvs Atvidabergs FF1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Eskilsminne and Tvååker.

Eskilsminne vs Tvååker head-to-head page →

Ettan Södra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg302163+3569
2Lund301587+2153
3Hässleholms IF301659+1753
4AFC Malmo301389+1247
5Atvidabergs FF301389+747
6Rosengård3011109+343
7Skövde AIK3010119-741
8Olympic3012414-140
9Jonkopings Sodra3011613+339
10Trollhättan3010812-538
11Tvååker3010812-538
12Kristianstad3010713-437
13Eskilsminne3010614-1236
14Angelholms FF308913-1233
15Laholm309516-832
16Utsikten303720-4416

More Ettan Södra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eskilsminne vs Tvååker?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Eskilsminne vs Tvååker?

On our numbers Eskilsminne have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tvååker 40%.

How many goals will there be in Eskilsminne vs Tvååker?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eskilsminne vs Tvååker?

Our predicted score is Eskilsminne 1–1 Tvååker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Eskilsminne vs Tvååker?

Eskilsminne vs Tvååker (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Harlyckan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.