Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Trelleborg to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTrelleborg to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceTrelleborg or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Tvååker vs Trelleborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tvååker welcome Trelleborg for a Ettan Södra fixture on Sunday 20 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, Tvååker are 11th, lower half, on 38 points after 30 matches; Trelleborg are 1st (leading the league) with 69. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tvååker, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Eskilsminne, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Trelleborg, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Rosengård, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tvååker 0.9 xG, Trelleborg 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tvååker 15%, draw 20%, Trelleborg 65%.
Lower-risk option: Trelleborg or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Trelleborg to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Trelleborg or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tvååker 0–2 Trelleborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tvååker15%fair 6.70 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
Trelleborg65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
3.11Expected goals
0.94Tvååker xG
2.17Trelleborg xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tvååker 0.9 – 2.2 Trelleborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trelleborg to win✓
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Trelleborg or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Trelleborg (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Trelleborg -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Trelleborg to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Trelleborg ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trelleborg / FT Trelleborg✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Tvååker – last 6
LDWDWW
17 Sep
@ Eskilsminne
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs AFC Malmo
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Jonkopings Sodra
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Skövde AIK
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Olympic
4–3
W
15 Aug
@ Kristianstad
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trelleborg – last 6
WWLWLL
17 Sep
@ Rosengård
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Hässleholms IF
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Skövde AIK
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Utsikten
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Eskilsminne
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tvååker and Trelleborg.
Our pick is Trelleborg or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
On our numbers Tvååker have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trelleborg 65%.
How many goals will there be in Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
Our predicted score is Tvååker 0–2 Trelleborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
Tvååker vs Trelleborg (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
