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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lund v Kristianstad: numbers & prediction

Ettan Södra · Sweden · Klostergardens Idrottsplats

Lund

LWWDW
0–1
FT
Lund 65%Draw 20%Kristianstad 15% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.89
65%
Betarazi pick

Lund to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultLund to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceLund or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Lund vs Kristianstad: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kristianstad travel to face Lund on Friday 25 September in the Ettan Södra, with Klostergardens Idrottsplats the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lund are 2nd, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Kristianstad are 12th (lower half) with 37. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lund, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atvidabergs FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Kristianstad, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Laholm, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lund, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Kristianstad.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Kristianstad 1–1 Lund. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lund 0 wins, Kristianstad 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lund 2.1 xG, Kristianstad 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lund 65%, draw 20%, Kristianstad 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lund or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lund to win (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lund 2–0 Kristianstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lund65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.80
Kristianstad15%fair 6.68 · @4.50
2.98Expected goals
2.09Lund xG
0.89Kristianstad xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Lund 2.1 – 0.9 Kristianstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLund to win ✗65%1.541.57
Double chanceLund or draw ✗85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.57
Draw no betLund (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapLund -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreLund to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultLund ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lund / FT Lund ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Lund – last 6

LWWDWW
19 Sep@ Atvidabergs FF0–1L
16 Sepvs Angelholms FF2–0W
11 Sepvs Rosengård2–0W
5 Sep@ Utsikten1–1D
28 Augvs Olympic7–1W
22 Aug@ AFC Malmo5–2W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kristianstad – last 6

WLDLWL
20 Sep@ Laholm3–2W
17 Sepvs Olympic0–1L
13 Sepvs Jonkopings Sodra0–0D
5 Sep@ Hässleholms IF1–2L
29 Augvs Atvidabergs FF5–2W
23 Aug@ Skövde AIK1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Jun 2026Kristianstad v Lund1–1
28 Mar 2026Kristianstad v Lund2–1
Lund vs Kristianstad head-to-head page →

Ettan Södra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg302163+3569
2Lund301587+2153
3Hässleholms IF301659+1753
4AFC Malmo301389+1247
5Atvidabergs FF301389+747
6Rosengård3011109+343
7Skövde AIK3010119-741
8Olympic3012414-140
9Jonkopings Sodra3011613+339
10Trollhättan3010812-538
11Tvååker3010812-538
12Kristianstad3010713-437
13Eskilsminne3010614-1236
14Angelholms FF308913-1233
15Laholm309516-832
16Utsikten303720-4416

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lund vs Kristianstad?

Our pick is Lund to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Lund vs Kristianstad?

On our numbers Lund have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kristianstad 15%.

How many goals will there be in Lund vs Kristianstad?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lund vs Kristianstad?

Our predicted score is Lund 2–0 Kristianstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Lund vs Kristianstad?

Lund vs Kristianstad (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Klostergardens Idrottsplats.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.