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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Malmo v Skövde AIK: numbers & prediction

Ettan Södra · Sweden · Hyllie IP
4–2
FT
AFC Malmo 63%Draw 22%Skövde AIK 15% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.92
63%
Betarazi pick

AFC Malmo to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Malmo to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceAFC Malmo or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: AFC Malmo v Skövde AIK in the Ettan Södra, played at Hyllie IP. In the table, AFC Malmo are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Skövde AIK are 7th (upper half) with 41.

Current form

AFC Malmo, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kristianstad, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Skövde AIK, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Utsikten, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Skövde AIK 0–4 AFC Malmo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Malmo 2.1 xG, Skövde AIK 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Malmo 63%, draw 22%, Skövde AIK 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: AFC Malmo or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AFC Malmo to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Malmo 2–0 Skövde AIK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Malmo63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
Skövde AIK15%fair 6.64 · @4.20
2.98Expected goals
2.06AFC Malmo xG
0.92Skövde AIK xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: AFC Malmo 2.1 – 0.9 Skövde AIK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Malmo to win ✓63%1.591.65
Double chanceAFC Malmo or draw ✓85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.53
Draw no betAFC Malmo (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapAFC Malmo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
First team to scoreAFC Malmo to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultAFC Malmo ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

AFC Malmo – last 6

WWWLDD
2 Oct@ Kristianstad1–0W
27 Sep@ Eskilsminne2–1W
19 Sepvs Utsikten3–1W
16 Sep@ Hässleholms IF0–2L
12 Sep@ Tvååker0–0D
5 Sepvs Atvidabergs FF2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Skövde AIK – last 6

WWLLWW
3 Octvs Utsikten3–2W
26 Sepvs Olympic2–1W
21 Sep@ Jonkopings Sodra2–3L
17 Sepvs Trollhättan1–3L
12 Sep@ Angelholms FF3–0W
6 Sepvs Trelleborg2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Skövde AIK v AFC Malmo0–4
AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK head-to-head page →

Ettan Södra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg302163+3569
2Lund301587+2153
3Hässleholms IF301659+1753
4AFC Malmo301389+1247
5Atvidabergs FF301389+747
6Rosengård3011109+343
7Skövde AIK3010119-741
8Olympic3012414-140
9Jonkopings Sodra3011613+339
10Trollhättan3010812-538
11Tvååker3010812-538
12Kristianstad3010713-437
13Eskilsminne3010614-1236
14Angelholms FF308913-1233
15Laholm309516-832
16Utsikten303720-4416

More Ettan Södra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK?

Our pick is AFC Malmo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK?

On our numbers AFC Malmo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Skövde AIK 15%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK?

Our predicted score is AFC Malmo 2–0 Skövde AIK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK?

AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hyllie IP.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.