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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jonkopings Sodra v AFC Malmo: numbers & prediction

Ettan Södra · Sweden · Stadsparksvallen
2–1
FT
Jonkopings Sodra 42%Draw 23%AFC Malmo 35% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.30
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2

Value bet: AFC Malmo to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJonkopings Sodra to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.51

Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Malmo travel to face Jonkopings Sodra on Saturday 17 October in the Ettan Södra, with Stadsparksvallen the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Jonkopings Sodra are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; AFC Malmo are 4th (among the top four) with 47.

Current form

Jonkopings Sodra, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hässleholms IF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

AFC Malmo, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Skövde AIK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AFC Malmo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Jonkopings Sodra.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended AFC Malmo 1–0 Jonkopings Sodra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jonkopings Sodra 1.4 xG, AFC Malmo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jonkopings Sodra 42%, draw 23%, AFC Malmo 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: AFC Malmo to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jonkopings Sodra 1–1 AFC Malmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jonkopings Sodra42%fair 2.39 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.10
AFC Malmo35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
2.73Expected goals
1.43Jonkopings Sodra xG
1.30AFC Malmo xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Jonkopings Sodra 1.4 – 1.3 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJonkopings Sodra to win ✓42%2.392.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.65
Draw no betJonkopings Sodra (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapAFC Malmo +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreJonkopings Sodra to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jonkopings Sodra / FT Jonkopings Sodra ✓24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.51–

Recent results

Jonkopings Sodra – last 6

LLLWWD
10 Oct@ Hässleholms IF0–1L
3 Octvs Eskilsminne0–1L
26 Sep@ Utsikten0–3L
21 Sepvs Skövde AIK3–2W
16 Sepvs Atvidabergs FF1–0W
13 Sep@ Kristianstad0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AFC Malmo – last 6

WWWWLD
10 Octvs Skövde AIK4–2W
2 Oct@ Kristianstad1–0W
27 Sep@ Eskilsminne2–1W
19 Sepvs Utsikten3–1W
16 Sep@ Hässleholms IF0–2L
12 Sep@ Tvååker0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026AFC Malmo v Jonkopings Sodra1–0
Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo head-to-head page →

Ettan Södra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg302163+3569
2Lund301587+2153
3Hässleholms IF301659+1753
4AFC Malmo301389+1247
5Atvidabergs FF301389+747
6Rosengård3011109+343
7Skövde AIK3010119-741
8Olympic3012414-140
9Jonkopings Sodra3011613+339
10Trollhättan3010812-538
11Tvååker3010812-538
12Kristianstad3010713-437
13Eskilsminne3010614-1236
14Angelholms FF308913-1233
15Laholm309516-832
16Utsikten303720-4416

More Ettan Södra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo?

On our numbers Jonkopings Sodra have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Malmo 35%.

How many goals will there be in Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo?

Our predicted score is Jonkopings Sodra 1–1 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo?

Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadsparksvallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.