Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Trelleborg to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTrelleborg to win ✓42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Lund vs Trelleborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trelleborg travel to face Lund on Friday 16 October in the Ettan Södra, with Klostergardens Idrottsplats the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lund are 2nd, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Trelleborg are 1st (leading the league) with 69. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lund, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Trollhättan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Trelleborg, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kristianstad, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Trelleborg, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Lund.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Trelleborg 2–2 Lund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lund 1.5 xG, Trelleborg 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lund 36%, draw 22%, Trelleborg 42%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Trelleborg to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lund 1–1 Trelleborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lund36%fair 2.78 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Trelleborg42%fair 2.40 · @2.62
3.21Expected goals
1.54Lund xG
1.67Trelleborg xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lund 1.5 – 1.7 Trelleborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lund vs Trelleborg?
On our numbers Lund have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trelleborg 42%.
How many goals will there be in Lund vs Trelleborg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lund vs Trelleborg?
Our predicted score is Lund 1–1 Trelleborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lund vs Trelleborg?
Lund vs Trelleborg (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Klostergardens Idrottsplats.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
